Data-driven decision making

Test your assumptions.
Track the truth.

Record real-world metrics, model how different decisions could play out, and compare every hypothesis against actual data — all on a single chart.

https://v1.hypotheses.ch/trackings/sample-revenue
Sample Revenue $
Optimistic Growth
Conservative
Horizon:
90k 70k 55k 45k 40k May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec ● Jan Feb Mar Apr today Revenue $51,200
Actual data
Optimistic Growth
Conservative

Stop guessing.
Start knowing.

Most planning tools show you one version of the future. Hypotheses lets you compare them all — against real data.

Track Any Metric

Revenue, users, weight, sprint velocity — if it's a number, you can track it. Add real measurements over time and watch the history build.

Model the Future

Define hypotheses and attach fixed or linear changes to any tracking. Project exactly how each scenario would shift your numbers over any horizon.

Compare & Decide

Toggle scenarios on and off. Zoom from 3 months to 5 years. See actual results diverge from projections and adjust your strategy accordingly.

From idea to insight
in four steps.

01

Create a Tracking

Give it a name and unit — revenue in $, weight in kg, anything you measure. That's it.

02

Record Real Data

Add State entries as time passes. Each one is a timestamped measurement that builds your history.

03

Build a Hypothesis

Define a scenario and attach changes — fixed events or gradual trends — to project future values.

04

Compare on the Chart

Actual data and projections appear side-by-side. Reality tells you which hypothesis was closest.

What will you decide
with it?

From company finances to sustainability targets — if the decision shows up in a number, you can model it before you make it.

Cash flow under control

Track your cash position and project it against future spendings and earnings — recurring salaries, rent, one-off invoices. Set a safety limit and see exactly when a scenario would cross it.

Limits Recurring changes

CO₂ reduction that sticks

Measure your real emissions and compare reduction scenarios — new heating, remote work, greener suppliers. Set objectives and check which plan actually reaches them, and by when.

Objectives Scenarios

Fleet decisions, full picture

One decision touches many numbers. Model replacing vans with EVs as changes on several trackings at once — budget, CO₂ emissions, maintenance — and compare the futures side by side.

Multiple trackings Scenarios

Compare providers over time

Which electricity provider wins once your solar buy-back is counted in? Model each offer — what you spend on consumption vs what they pay for your energy — and see which one costs less over the years.

Scenarios Projections

Growth plans you can test

Project revenue under different bets — two new sales hires, a bigger ad budget, a price change. Mark what you've committed to as validated and compare every other scenario against that future.

Validated future Targets

Personal goals, real dates

Saving for a house, a sabbatical, retirement? Track your savings, model different monthly rates, and get a foreseen date for each goal — not just a number.

Targets Foreseen dates

Ready to put your
assumptions to the test?

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